Drought conditions hit Contact earnings

Drought conditions in the south of the South Island have taken their toll on Contact Energy's earnings, prompting the major hydro-electricity generator to report an 18.7 percent drop in its net profit for the first half to December 31.

Contact, which is 52 percent owned by Australia's Origin Energy, reported a net profit of $68 million for the six months, down from $83.7m in the previous corresponding period. Despite the fall in earnings, Contact maintained its interim dividend at 11c.

Drought conditions in the lower South Island meant Contact's hydro-electricity production was its lowest since 2006.

Contact has two major South Island dams: Clyde and Roxburgh.

The company, which generates one quarter of New Zealand's electricity, also has geothermal assets in the central North Island and has big gas powered stations in Auckland and Taranaki.

Dry years normally translate into high wholesale prices, so in theory Contact should be able to cash in on high wholesale prices by running its thermal stations in the North Island to help offset the lower hydro production.

But strong North Island hydro production meant wholesale prices did not significantly increase in line with the dry South Island conditions, so Contact was not able to run as much thermal as it would have done under a truly dry-year scenario, Forsyth Barr electricity and energy sector research analyst Andrew Harvey-Green told APNZ.

"Secondly, a lot more generation has come on board since the last dry year in 2008 in the form of geothermal and wind power, which meant the need for thermal was less than it once was,'' he said.

Contact also had to wrestle with intense retail competition, which meant its margins continued to be squeezed.

The company's earnings before net interest expense, income tax, depreciation, amortisation, change in fair value of financial instruments and other significant items (EBITDAF) was $231m, $5m higher than the prior corresponding period.

Contact chief executive Dennis Barnes said the combination of higher wholesale electricity prices and the delivery of gas take-or-pay savings were offset by hydro generation volumes being down by 16 percent compared to the prior half year. The majority of this volume was replaced by more expensive thermal generation with wholesale prices only just covering costs.

A return for the valuable capacity role the thermal plant plays was not evident in market pricing, he said.

The government-led price awareness campaign - What's My Number - drove heightened awareness among customers, resulting in an increase in customer "churn'' across the sector and saw significant customer losses for Contact in July and August, Barnes said in a statement.

However an updated offer for residential customers who receive and pay their bills online successfully reversed this trend, with the company gaining more than 4600 customers between September and December.

Barnes said with current national hydro storage levels at the end of January at the lowest seen in the past 15 years, there was potential that Contact's diverse generation assets would be required to ensure continued security of supply to customers.

The company also expects to see better retail prices in the second half.

Contact shares, which are one of the market's most widely-held, traded today at $4.86, up 8c.

Since December, the stock has come under downward pressure due to concerns about its earnings and the possibility that its position on the NZX's main indices will be diminished as a result of a review by the exchange.

- Jamie Gray, APNZ business reporter

Add a Comment