The coalition parties still had 64 seats between them on the numbers, easily enough to govern, with a greater vote percentage for Te Pāti Māori pointing to a 120-seat Parliament with no overhang seats, under the assumption electorate seats remain the same.
• National: 37.1 percent, down 0.3 points (47 seats)
• Labour: 25.7 percent, up 0.4 points (32 seats)
• Greens: 14.6 percent, up 3.3 points (18 seats)
• ACT: 7.2 percent, down 2.8 points (9 seats)
• NZ First: 6.3 percent, down 1.1 points (8 seats)
• Te Pāti Māori: 4.6 percent, up 2.1 points (6 seats)
All non-Parliamentary parties scored less than 2 percentage points, with TOP on 1.6 percent and Outdoors and Freedom on 1.5 percent the only ones recording higher than 1 percentage point of support.
Leaders' net favourability dipped across the board, with National's Christopher Luxon down 2 points to -7 percent, and Labour's Chris Hipkins down 8 points to -6 percent, the first time a Labour leader had a negative net favourability in a TPU-Curia poll.
David Seymour down 3 points to -11 percent, Winston Peters fell 6 points to -18 percent. The outfit polled on National MP Chris Bishop, whose favourability was -4 percent, and new Green co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick on -19 percent.
The poll was conducted by Curia Market Research Ltd for the NZ Taxpayers' Union.
It is a random poll of 1000 adult New Zealanders and is weighted to the overall adult population. It was conducted by phone (landlines and mobile) and online between 2 and 4 April 2024, has a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent, with undecided votes accounting for 5.6 percent of respondents on the party vote question.
